-
- Tenant-favorable markets in APAC expected to moderate as conditions tighten
-
- Supply-constrained markets - Australia, Japan and Singapore are seeing rising competition
-
- 54% of global markets and 60% of APAC markets expect rental growth, reinforcing upward pricing pressure
HONG KONG SAR -
Media OutReach Newswire
- 3 July 2026 - Asia Pacific's logistics markets are entering a more
complex phase, with divergence across the region increasingly shaping
both occupier strategy and investor positioning. According to Cushman
& Wakefield's
Waypoint 2026
report, APAC remains the most tenant‑favorable region globally, with
47% of markets favoring occupiers, up from 33% in 2025, although
conditions vary significantly as supply and demand dynamics continue to
diverge across markets.
The report reveals that the Chinese mainland industrial and logistics
market is currently characterized by tenant-favorable conditions driven
by abundant supply and softer occupier demand. Significant levels of
vacant stock across China's regional markets have reduced landlord
pricing power, resulting in downward pressure on rents and heightened
tenant leverage. On the other hand, China remains cost-competitive
globally ? with relatively low rental and labor costs supporting its
position as a major manufacturing hub.
Looking ahead, the Chinese mainland market is expected to remain under
supply pressure in the near term, with vacancy rates likely to rise
further as new supply continues to outpace occupier demand growth.
Nevertheless, despite near-term challenges, both landlords and tenants
remain optimistic about the long-term fundamentals of the mainland China
logistics market in lease negotiations.
Tony Su, Managing Director and Head of Industrial & Logistics Services, China, Cushman & Wakefield,
noted:" The overall premium logistics warehouse market in the Chinese
mainland maintained a stable trajectory. On the supply-demand side,
landlords prioritized renewal quality and long-term asset value,
favoring stable tenants such as manufacturers, while remaining cautious
toward long-term leases at low rates. Tenants, in contrast, remained
highly price-sensitive and valued expansion flexibility. Despite certain
divergences in leasing strategies, both sides are negotiating based on
an optimistic outlook for the market, reflecting a gradual recovery of
confidence in the premium logistics warehouse sector."
APAC: Markets diverse, SEA emerging as a key growth hub
Supply‑constrained markets such as Australia, Japan and Singapore are
experiencing increasing competition for space, with vacancy expected to
decline as development pipelines remain limited. This is reflected in
wider regional trends, where 43% of APAC markets are expected to see
vacancy decline over the next three years, reflecting a gradual
tightening of market conditions. In contrast, more tenant‑friendly
conditions persist in parts of India and on the Chinese mainland, where
higher levels of new supply continue to provide occupiers with greater
flexibility. Across APAC, around a third of markets are expected to see
vacancy rise amid ongoing development activity.
This divergence is reinforcing a market‑by‑market approach across the
region. For landlords, aligning assets with high‑growth sectors such as
e‑commerce, manufacturing, high‑tech and automotive, while ensuring
buildings can support power demand and automation, is becoming
increasingly important.
Dennis Yeo, Head of Investor Services and Logistics & Industrial, Asia Pacific, Cushman & Wakefield, said: "Different
markets across APAC are experiencing different stages of growth, fueled
by resilient occupier demand led by e-commerce and manufacturing.
Supply constraints in markets such as Japan and Australia are driving
competition, meanwhile continued availability in China and India is
creating opportunity."
Demand across APAC continues to be anchored by e‑commerce and
manufacturing, alongside ongoing supply chain diversification, with
Southeast Asia emerging as a key growth hub. Markets such as Vietnam,
Indonesia and Thailand are seeing strengthening occupier activity driven
by production shifts and regionalization strategies, while high‑tech
and automotive sectors remain important sources of demand across North
Asia. This is reinforcing the importance of modern, well‑located and
future‑ready logistics facilities that can support evolving operational
and technological requirements.
Global outlook: tightening conditions and rising costs
Globally, the report shows tenant‑favorable conditions declining from
52% in 2026 to 33% by 2029 as vacancy tightens and supply remains
constrained, while landlord‑favorable markets are projected to rise from
26% to 39%, signalling a broader shift in market balance. At the same
time, demand for high‑quality, strategically located assets continues to
strengthen as businesses redesign supply chains to mitigate
geopolitical, trade and climate risks, with global logistics rents now
36% above 2020 levels and 54% of markets expected to see rental growth
over the next three years.
In the Americas, logistics markets are expected to see the most
pronounced shift towards landlord‑favorable conditions as supply and
demand rebalance across key U.S. hubs, while nearshoring continues to
support demand in Mexico.
In EMEA, tightening vacancy alongside constrained development pipelines
is narrowing occupier flexibility, while elevated energy costs are
increasingly shaping location decisions and driving demand for
energy‑efficient logistics assets.
Dr. Dominic Brown, Head of International Research, Cushman & Wakefield, said:
"The next phase of the logistics cycle will be defined by
preparedness. Businesses that embed resilience into their real estate
strategies, through smarter use of technology, automation and
energy‑secure assets, will be far better placed to navigate disruption
and capture long‑term growth."