SINGAPORE -
Media OutReach Newswire - 10 April 2026 - Kearney's Global Business Policy Council today released the
2026 Foreign Direct Investment Confidence Index (FDICI),
an annual survey of global business executives that ranks markets most
likely to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) over the next three
years. The 2026 Index sees Asia Pacific (APAC) claiming the largest
share of the ranked markets (10 out of 25) for the first time in more
than a decade, amid a global investment environment shaped by
intensifying geopolitical tensions, expanding industrial policy, and
accelerating technological competition.
The survey, conducted in January 2026 among more than 500 senior
executives from leading corporations worldwide, shows that companies
remain committed to international investment despite mounting
uncertainty. Eighty-eight percent of respondents say they plan to
increase foreign direct investment over the next three years, signaling
sustained confidence in long-term global opportunities.
The United States and Canada retain their first and second positions on
the Index. Japan rises to third, and China (including Hong Kong) climbs
to fourth. Singapore (8
th), South Korea (11
th) and India (22
nd) post gains as Thailand (20
th) and Malaysia (21
st) re-enter the top 25 list after three and 12 years respectively— reflecting a strong showing from APAC.
"The APAC region emerges as a winner as investors recalibrate how they
make decisions in a more turbulent operating environment," said Shigeru
Sekinada, Region Chair, Asia Pacific at Kearney. "The technological
capability, economic growth potential, and geopolitical relevance
offered by the top-ranking APAC markets make them choice FDI
destinations among a business community that is both actively pursuing
emerging opportunities and attentive to mounting complexities and
risks."
Middle powers and emerging markets attract renewed investor interest
Most APAC markets in the top 25 list saw improvements in rankings, but none as remarkable as Singapore, which rose from 15
th to 8
th
place. This leap can be attributed to the city-state's reputation as a
hub for R&D and innovation, supported by tax incentives, research
grants, and partnerships. One third (34 percent) of investors in the
survey cite Singapore's technological innovation as the strongest reason
to invest there, followed by its economic performance (30 percent),
driven by expansions in biomedical manufacturing and electronics, and
sustained AI-driven semiconductor and server related growth.
Singapore's significant gain in this year's Index, alongside those of
markets like Saudi Arabia, reflects the rise of "middle powers"—markets
that are neither great powers nor small states but still exercise
meaningful influence in international politics and generally abide by
global rules and norms.
Meanwhile, emerging markets remain dynamic and increasingly
interconnected with global investment flows. China ranks as the top
market on the Emerging Markets Index for the third consecutive year.
Thailand and Malaysia (6
th and 7
th on the Emerging Markets Index) post some of the largest gains in the rankings while Vietnam (16
th)
rises three spots.Investor sentiment toward emerging markets has
improved modestly year over year, suggesting that companies are
increasingly looking beyond traditional investment hubs as they expand
supply chains and pursue growth opportunities across a broader set of
emerging markets.
Innovation drives investment decisions
Technological and innovation capabilities rank as the most important
factor influencing where companies choose to invest, surpassing
traditional considerations such as regulatory efficiency and domestic
economic performance. As investment in artificial intelligence, digital
infrastructure, and data-driven technologies accelerates worldwide,
markets with strong innovation ecosystems are increasingly viewed as the
most attractive destinations for long-term investment.
Investors cite technological innovation as the strongest or tied
strongest reason to invest in 10 of the 25 markets on the Index,
including Japan, China, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan (China).
Geopolitical risk and industrial policy reshape the investment landscape
Executives remain alert to rising global risks even as investment
intentions remain strong. Geopolitical tensions rank as the most likely
development over the next year (36 percent), followed by commodity price
increases and political instability in developed markets (30 percent).
"Geopolitical instability and rising commodity prices have proven to be
major factors impacting global business this year, as reflected in the
current Middle East conflict. Supply chain resilience, diversification
of energy sources and government policies will be crucial for markets to
maintain their attractiveness in the eyes of investors in the medium
term," said Sekinada.
At the same time, industrial policy is playing an increasingly central
role in shaping investment decisions. According to the survey, 84
percent of investors globally say industrial policy is extremely or very
important in determining where they invest, and 57 percent believe it
has a positive impact on their company's business performance. APAC
investors show strong support for infrastructure development and
subsidies as the most effective industrial policy tools, with 88 percent
of investors in the region viewing infrastructure-focused industrial
policy as favorable, and 80 percent saying the same for subsidies.
About the 2026 Kearney FDI Confidence Index®
The 2026 Kearney FDI Confidence Index
® is constructed using
primary data from a proprietary survey of 507 senior executives of the
world's leading corporations. The survey was conducted in January 2026.
Respondents include C-level executives and regional and business
leaders. All participating companies have annual revenues of $500
million or more. The companies are headquartered in 30 countries and
span all sectors.
The Index is calculated as a weighted average of the number of high,
medium, and low responses to questions on the likelihood of making a
direct investment in a select market over the next three years.
Index values are based on responses only from companies headquartered in
foreign markets. For example, the Index value for the United States was
calculated without responses from US-headquartered investors. Higher
Index values indicate more attractive investment targets.
All economic growth figures presented in the report are the latest
estimates and forecasts available from Oxford Economics unless otherwise
noted. Other secondary sources include investment promotion agencies,
central banks, ministries of finance and trade, relevant news media, and
other major data sources.
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